Travel Forecasts

The Transport Performance and Analytics (TPA) produces travel forecasts using the Strategic Travel Model (STM). This model is a world class tool that projects travel patterns in the Sydney Greater Metropolitan Area under different land use, transport and pricing scenarios. It can be used to test alternative settlement, employment and transport policies, to identify likely future capacity constraints, or to determine potential usage levels of proposed new transport infrastructure or services.

The STM is built largely in the EMME transport modelling software. It is comprised of a series of models and processes that attempt to replicate, in a simplified manner, people’s travel choices and behaviour under a given scenario. The STM combines our understanding of travel behaviour with likely population and employment size and distribution, and likely road and public transport networks and services to estimate future travel under different strategic land use and transport scenarios.

The STM produces travel forecasts by origin (2,690) and destination (2,690) STM zones for:

  • The Sydney Greater Metropolitan Area which includes the Sydney Statistical Division, Newcastle Statistical Subdivision and Illawarra Statistical Division.

  • 5 yearly intervals from the latest Census year up to a 35-year horizon

  • 9 travel modes: Car driver, Car passenger, Rail, Bus, Light rail, Ferry, Bike, Walk and Taxi

  • 7 purposes: Work, Business, Primary/Secondary/Tertiary education, Shopping, Other

  • 24 hour, average workday (Monday to Friday excluding public holidays)

  • am/pm peak, interpeak and evening travel

Data and Resources

Tags

Additional Info

Field Value
Unpublished
Spatial
Geospatial Coverage New South Wales (NSW81093)
Temporal Coverage From 2019-02-08
Temporal Coverage To
Idioma English
Type Dataset
Data Status Active
Update Frequency Quarterly
Display User Contact Details No
Publisher Transport for NSW
Contact Email general-feedback@transport.nsw.gov.au
Jurisdiction New South Wales
Metadata.NSW