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  "name": "narclim-climate-projections-n2-0",
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  "name": "narclim-climate-projections-n2-0",
            
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  "notes": "__What is NARCliM?__\r\n\r\nThe New South Wales and 
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  "notes": "__What is NARCliM?__\r\n\r\nThe New South Wales and 
            
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Australian Regional Climate Modelling (NARCliM) project develops 
28
Australian Regional Climate Modelling (NARCliM) project develops 
            
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high-resolution regional climate projections that cover NSW and 
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high-resolution regional climate projections that cover NSW and 
            
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South-eastern Australia at a higher resolution and the Australasian 
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South-eastern Australia at a higher resolution and the Australasian 
            
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continent and beyond at another resolution (named the NARCliM and 
31
continent and beyond at another resolution (named the NARCliM and 
            
36
CORDEX domains, respectively).\r\nComputer modelled climate 
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CORDEX domains, respectively).\r\nComputer modelled climate 
            
37
projections are the best information we have available on our future 
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projections are the best information we have available on our future 
            
38
climate. NARCliM has been designed to help government, industry and 
34
climate. NARCliM has been designed to help government, industry and 
            
39
community in NSW and Australia plan for our future with robust 
35
community in NSW and Australia plan for our future with robust 
            
40
regional and local scale data.\r\nThe NARCliM project uses currently 
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regional and local scale data.\r\nThe NARCliM project uses currently 
            
41
available global climate models (GCM) and greenhouse gas (GHG) 
37
available global climate models (GCM) and greenhouse gas (GHG) 
            
42
emissions scenarios from the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison 
38
emissions scenarios from the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison 
            
43
Project (CMIP) used in the IPCC reports and applies regional dynamical 
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Project (CMIP) used in the IPCC reports and applies regional dynamical 
            
44
downscaling using the latest Weather Research and Forecasting model 
40
downscaling using the latest Weather Research and Forecasting model 
            
45
(WRF). NARCliM generates critical climate indices for a broad range of 
41
(WRF). NARCliM generates critical climate indices for a broad range of 
            
46
applications and climate change adaptation and risk analysis.\r\nThe 
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applications and climate change adaptation and risk analysis.\r\nThe 
            
47
NARCliM project is led by the NSW Government with support from the 
43
NARCliM project is led by the NSW Government with support from the 
            
48
ACT, South Australian, Victorian, and Western Australian governments, 
44
ACT, South Australian, Victorian, and Western Australian governments, 
            
49
National Computational Infrastructure, Murdoch University and the 
45
National Computational Infrastructure, Murdoch University and the 
            
50
University of New South Wales.\r\n\r\n__NARCliM2.0__\r\n\r\nNARCliM2.0 
46
University of New South Wales.\r\n\r\n__NARCliM2.0__\r\n\r\nNARCliM2.0 
            
51
was released in the second half 2024. It is the most detailed regional 
47
was released in the second half 2024. It is the most detailed regional 
            
52
climate projections available in Australia to date at 4km grid 
48
climate projections available in Australia to date at 4km grid 
            
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resolution for South-eastern Australia and 20km for Australasia. 
49
resolution for South-eastern Australia and 20km for Australasia. 
            
54
NARCliM2.0 simulates the climate using five CMIP6 GCMs and two RCMs 
50
NARCliM2.0 simulates the climate using five CMIP6 GCMs and two RCMs 
            
55
with continuous data from 1950 to 2100. Rigorous and peer-reviewed 
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with continuous data from 1950 to 2100. Rigorous and peer-reviewed 
            
56
analysis of CMIP6 GCMs was undertaken to identify the best-performing 
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analysis of CMIP6 GCMs was undertaken to identify the best-performing 
            
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models for NARCliM2.0 over eastern Australia\u2019s geographically 
53
models for NARCliM2.0 over eastern Australia\u2019s geographically 
            
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complex and heavily populated regions. These five GCMs were chosen 
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complex and heavily populated regions. These five GCMs were chosen 
            
59
because they performed well in simulating various aspects of daily 
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because they performed well in simulating various aspects of daily 
            
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climate, were independent models, and showed diverse signals of 
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climate, were independent models, and showed diverse signals of 
            
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climate change. This made them the most suitable group for downscaling 
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climate change. This made them the most suitable group for downscaling 
            
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to represent a wide range of future climates.\r\n\r\nThe current 
58
to represent a wide range of future climates.\r\n\r\nThe current 
            
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release includes two GHG scenarios - SSP1-2.6 (low emissions) and 
59
release includes two GHG scenarios - SSP1-2.6 (low emissions) and 
            
64
SSP3-7.0 (high emissions), with a third scenario, SSP2-4.5 (middle of 
60
SSP3-7.0 (high emissions), with a third scenario, SSP2-4.5 (middle of 
            
65
the road emissions), available in 2025. Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 
61
the road emissions), available in 2025. Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 
            
66
do not estimate the relative likelihood of any scenario. Since any 
62
do not estimate the relative likelihood of any scenario. Since any 
            
67
future scenario is plausible, it is best to consider multiple 
63
future scenario is plausible, it is best to consider multiple 
            
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scenarios where possible. NARCliM2.0 has been designed to WRCP-CORDEX 
64
scenarios where possible. NARCliM2.0 has been designed to WRCP-CORDEX 
            
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(https://cordex.org/) standards. Additionally, the 4km grid resolution 
65
(https://cordex.org/) standards. Additionally, the 4km grid resolution 
            
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over South-eastern Australia is considered 'convection permitting' in 
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over South-eastern Australia is considered 'convection permitting' in 
            
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that it better captures convective processes like strong winds, 
67
that it better captures convective processes like strong winds, 
            
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extreme rainfall, storms and coastal atmospheric dynamics. NARCliM 
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extreme rainfall, storms and coastal atmospheric dynamics. NARCliM 
            
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provides users with state of the art climate projections for Australia 
69
provides users with state of the art climate projections for Australia 
            
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at the finest resolution currently available.\r\nEach generation of 
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at the finest resolution currently available.\r\nEach generation of 
            
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NARCliM is based on best available climate modelling and scenarios at 
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NARCliM is based on best available climate modelling and scenarios at 
            
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the time of release. Consequently, there are expected differences 
72
the time of release. Consequently, there are expected differences 
            
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between projections/results of the modelling but there are mostly 
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between projections/results of the modelling but there are mostly 
            
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similarities in trends (across NSW and over time).\r\n\r\n__Model 
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similarities in trends (across NSW and over time).\r\n\r\n__Model 
            
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output__\r\n\r\nNARCliM2.0 contains approximately 150 climate 
75
output__\r\n\r\nNARCliM2.0 contains approximately 150 climate 
            
80
variables defined by CORDEX guidelines. The most commonly used 
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variables defined by CORDEX guidelines. The most commonly used 
            
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variables (CORDEX CORE) at daily and monthly frequencies in regular 
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variables (CORDEX CORE) at daily and monthly frequencies in regular 
            
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grid will be available on the NSW Climate Data Portal in late 2024. 
78
grid will be available on the NSW Climate Data Portal in late 2024. 
            
83
Most variables and additional frequencies/time steps are currently 
79
Most variables and additional frequencies/time steps are currently 
            
84
available on the National Computational Infrastructure at ANU 
80
available on the National Computational Infrastructure at ANU 
            
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(https://dx.doi.org/10.25914/ysxb-rt43).  For more information, visit 
81
(https://dx.doi.org/10.25914/ysxb-rt43).  For more information, visit 
            
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the AdaptNSW website, or contact us through the NARCliM Mailbox, 
82
the AdaptNSW website, or contact us through the NARCliM Mailbox, 
            
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narclim@environment.nsw.gov.au. \r\n\r\n__Related 
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narclim@environment.nsw.gov.au. \r\n\r\n__Related 
            
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links__\r\n\r\nDiscover how climate change will affect your region at 
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links__\r\n\r\nDiscover how climate change will affect your region at 
            
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W](https://www.climatechange.environment.nsw.gov.au/projections-map)",
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W](https://www.climatechange.environment.nsw.gov.au/projections-map)",
            
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